Friday, 28 October 2011

Week * Fantasy Football- Bye Week Replacements

With the Raiders, Packers, Jets, Falcons, Buccaneers and Bears on a bye week. You might be seeing some gaps in your fantasy football team. If you are, here are a few people to consider.

QB: John Beck (WAS)- The Redskins did lose their best receiver and their starting running back. This all ends up in favour for playing John Beck this week. After two starts, he is averaging over 14 points per game. Remember also that he has a rushing touchdown in both games and played against much better defences than the Bills have to offer. After all, the Bills are ranked 30th in both run and pass defence. Mike Shanahan might run the ball often though. Partly because they will want to keep the Bills' offence off the field and partly because they have lost a key member of their passing attack. The reason I like Beck is this. The running game will set up some play-action. The man taking Santana Moss' place is Anthony Armstrong. Armstrong has some serious speed and is likely to go deep down field often, Beck has a very strong arm- simple. I like Beck on Sunday. He is owned in only 4.5% of leagues.

QB:  Christian Ponder (MIN)- The rookie did very well last week. Having over 200 yards in your first start against the unbeaten Super Bowl Champs is impressive. Now the Panthers are terrible at stopping the run so expect a huge dose of AP. The Panthers will focus on trying to shut Adrian Peterson down, however they will not succeed. Even so, Ponder will get opportunities to play-action and his receivers should be open for big gains. He is owned in only 12% of leagues.

RB: Delone Carter (IND)- I know what your thinking, I am not touching the Colts offence. I agree with you. However, Carter had a great day last week against the Saints averaging 8.9 yards per carry. Carter is the goal line back as of now and the only promising thing coming out of the Colts. This is the spin, Curtis Painter is not doing well because he is being constantly pressured. This means that the Colts will want to run the ball more to take the pressure off of Painter. The Titans are 24th against the run and gave up over 200 yards to each of the Texans' running backs. Carter may not be quite as good as Ben Tate, but expect similar results. He is only owned in 30% of leagues and if your missing big players like Forte, McFadden or Turner then Carter is not a bad option.


WR: Antonio Brown (PIT)- Brown recently had a huge game and caught 7 catches for 102 yards but he was targeted a team-high 9 times. With Hines Ward hurt, Brown could become the new possession receiver that Roethlisberger needs. Mike Wallace will always be the deep threat. However, Wallace's recent touchdown catches have been long ones usually. Heath Miller will be needed to stop Big Ben from getting hurt, so Brown could become a big target which I believe could end up with Brown in the end zone. Roethlisberger has really been favouring the pass recently and the Patriots' pass defence will be completely focused upon Wallace, Brown is in store for a potential huge game. With all the Packer's receivers and the likes of Roddy White and Santonio Holmes on a bye, Brown is only owned in 17% of leagues. Worth a shout.

WR: Demaryius Thomas (DEN)- The reason I have chosen Thomas here is because he was targeted 10 times by Tebow last week and I have chosen him in my team. Yes he is very risky but 10 targets and he caught a great dramatic catch last week. Tebow will have confidence in him. You could do a lot worse than Thomas this week and he is owned only in 13% of leagues.

TE: Jake Ballard (NYG)- Now here is an exciting prospect. The Giants have replaced Kevin Boss with Jake Ballard. In the last three games Ballard has had 12 targets, 11 catches, 185 yards and 2 touchdowns. Eli Manning is always going to throw the ball and Miami's pass defence is 2nd worse against tight ends. It only takes one pass and he is in the end zone. Best of all he is owned in 7% of leagues. I actually think that Ballard could develop into a star for the rest of the season so think about it.

D/ST: Cincinnati Bengals/ New York Giants - With the Bears and Jets out, the Cowboys and Eagles playing each other, a pick-up defence is badly needed. The Bengals (owned in 59 %) are definitely your best fill ins. They play against a poor Seattle offence that could barely claw together 150 yards of offence last week; even if Tavarris Jackson is back, do not be concerned. The New York Giants have Justin Tuck back and are playing Matt Moore. the Dolphin's offensive line is struggling and they will continue to struggle against the Giants viscious front 4. The points potential for both defences are brilliant. Expect either one to give you a nice match-up.

Good luck and I feel confident about this week's tips. If you have any questions or would like an opinion on who to place, feel free to comment and I will answer as many as possible. Follow me on Twitter during the game for updates on my fantasy picks and comments.

Wednesday, 26 October 2011

Is it time for Munchak to blame Chris Johnson?

Chris Johnson's first three seasons have ranked him fourth all time among running backs with the most yards. In each of those three years he averaged five yards per carry. In the recent off-season, CJ2K waited out for a big contract that he felt like he deserved.

The season started slow for CJ2K. He had missed the whole of the pre-season and was carefully given more and more touches. After all, spending 56 million dollars on a player you want to keep him healthy. However in the recent game against the Texans, Johnson averaged 1.8 yard per carry and was out-performed by his backup. Johnson has rushed for 268 yards and a touchdown. Not quite quality worth 50 million.

Johnson's struggles have been blamed on the offensive line, lack of communication and even poor play calling. No one has blamed him. Is it time for Johnson to take responsibility? In my opinion, definitely.

The Titan's running-back commented after the game that, "I won't say that I'm the issue." Amazing. The man who wants a new contract and wont turn up to training camp. His greed has excelled his legs. Getting that huge pay off has led to arrogance and too much comfort.

Watching Johnson play you do not quite see that burst of speed, that claw for the extra yards that we use to. Ultimately I do not see the confidence in him. It would be nice to say that his lack of performance is because defences are focused in the run due to no passing game. But, Matt Hasselbeck has provided a new spark to the Titan's passing game and logically should open up lanes for Johnson. Even Nate Washington has become a big receiver after Kenny Britt went on IR.

I think it is time for Munchak to stop making excuses and covering Johnson's behind. Munchak responded to Johnson's comments on Sunday by saying, "I don't think he meant to say that he has stepped back and it's everyone else's problems." Did he not hear Johnson's comments? It is exactly what he said. Johnson was selfish when he held out for big money, selfish when he made negative comments on Twitter about the Titan's fans, and now he is selfish when there is a clearly an issue that he himself should own up to.

I would even go as far as to say that the reason the Titan's have not recently thrown the ball well is because teams are not worried about the run. Munchak has no choice but to stick by his multi-million dollar prized running back, but dropping him for a quarter or a game could help.

I do not buy into the idea that Johnson just wants money. He is an athlete. What he needs is a challenge. He needs to know that he is not guaranteed a starting place until he can handle it. Munchak would be doing everyone a favour by giving Javon Ringer the start or even split carries with CJ2K. It would also allow the fans to see Johnson fighting for his place back. The fans would be back on his side and the whole issue, whats wrong with CJ, would be over and Titans could potentially be play-off bound if they sort out this issue.

Friday, 21 October 2011

Fantasy Football Potential Explosions

Wow what a week. Carson Palmer finally gets the trade he wants and arrived at Oakland. Jerome Harrison was on his way to Philadelphia and then suddenly found out he had a brain tumour. He has recently had surgery and my prayers are with him and his family. Josh McDaniels has convinced the Rams that Brandon Lloyd will help Sam Bradford while Mike Sims-Walker returns to Jacksonville.

Most notably the Carson Palmer move was huge. I have had a lot of people tell me that they paid too much for him. Many people have also told me that Palmer is "not that much of an upgrade from Jason Campbell." So, people agree that it is an upgrade. As an Oakland fan I remain positive and this is why. Palmer took a big pay cut to join the Raiders. Nothing shows commitment like a pay cut in my opinion. The second reason I like this trade is that Palmer and Head Coach Hue Jackson have worked together in the past. This should lead to a settling in quicker. The last reason to stay positive is that Palmer brings experience to the Raiders' shaky pass offence. Not sure Oakland Coliseum knows what that looks like. Overall, you have a guy who will want to prove himself to everyone and has a familiar friend as a Head Coach. Expect big things this season.

Palmer could cost Jackson his next two first round picks. That is a lot for a 21-year-old. The only positive about is that Coach Jackson is clearly happy with his team for the next few years. He is 4-2 as a Head Coach and we should all trust him. We should also be very happy to see that a Raiders' Head Coach is in charge of the team. He has control. Palmer trade proved it.

Last week's explosion article seemed to do all right. I'll be the first to admit that I did not see the response I wanted from Delone Carter or Delanie Walker. I was very disappointed with Greg Little as well. I would like to apologise for the Viking's defence decision. That was awful, I do not know what I was thinking. I was happy to see McCoy and Dalton do well, although I think they will consistent for the rest of the season.

Here are this week's explosion or implosion fantasy hopefuls.

QB: Curtis Painter (IND)- He hates pressure. The Saints like to blitz. Bad match up? Maybe. Painter is not be doing that bad. He is averaging over 15 points since starting and has thrown 5 touchdowns to only 1 interception and 1 fumble. The Saints defence has been very poor against the pass. Painter is improving and will certainly have to throw on Sunday. Expect 250+ yards and at least 1 TD.

RB: Jackie Battle (KC)- Finally we get to see what all the commotion is all about. Battle did some great things before the Chiefs got a bye week. I hope for his sake and Chief fans that he gets to start and gets 20 carries. The reason he is on this list is because Oakland is not great against the run and they will have to cover Dwayne Bowe on every play. Also, Richard Seymour will be busting through the KC front line so expect dump off passes to add to rushing yards. Expect Battle to beat out Thomas Jones and Dexter McCluster and have more than 60 yards with another 20 receiving,  with at least 1 TD.

RB: Mark Ingram (NO)- Ingram has been getting more carries than Pierre Thomas. He has a TD in 3 of the last 4 matches. He is the goal line back and Head Coach Sean Payton will want him to gain some confidence for the play-offs. The main reason that I like Ingram is that the Saints will use this game to get their run offence moving again. They need a running game and the Colts are horrible at defending the run, expect something big from the former Heisman Trophy winner.

WR: Brandon Lloyd (STL)- He is back under Josh McDaniels. Expect him to have the ball thrown to him at least 10 times.  McDaniels-Lloyd-Bradford. Expect a lot of throwing the ball and at least one of them ending in the end zone followed by a flag for unsportsmanlike conduct as McDaniels and Lloyd can re-unite in a fairy-tale hug.

WR: Percy Harvin (MIN)- . Ponder will throw, he likes to throw to Harvin, Harvin has big game. Simple explanation. Sounds effective right? Lets hope so. Harvin is not always on the field and he will probably be covered by Charles Woodson. So, where is the upside? PONDER HAS TO THROW. He has to. The Packers will stop Peterson on every play. Lets just hope that Ponder has enough time to get Harvin the ball before Clay Matthews "welcomes" the rookie to the NFL. Good luck with that one Christian.

TE: Jeremy Shockey (CAR)- Greg Olsen has turf toe. It is not that bad but having two decent tight ends means when one is hurt the other can step in easily. I think Riviera might keep the healthier tight end in the game for longer. As Steve Smith keeps getting double coveraged, defences will be concerned with Cam Newton's running ability in the red zone; so expect Shockey and Olsen to be open. Shockey should be on the field more, Law of averages, Shockey shows potential.

D/ST: Raiders (OAK)- Oakland are playing against an offence that does not really know its own style. They lost their best player and have struggled to switch to a pass-offence. Jackie Battle has emerged as a good option to run the ball as T.Jones and McCluster has wasted opportunities. The Raiders have to cover Dwayne Bowe on every play. I see enough Richard Seymour to have Cassell worried and Rolando McClain stopping Cassell from checking the ball down . Remember, Jacoby Ford is back to full speed and so dangerous on returns. All sounds positive to me.

Good luck!

Sunday, 16 October 2011

FIRST EVER FANTASY FOOTBALL UPDATE

After reacting a little too harshly to Brandon Marshall's comments I have finally got rid of him. In fact, I have never been a big fan of Marshall and having in my fantasy league was a bit of an annoyance. I managed to get Mark Ingram and I have a few receivers on the bench to help partner Mike Wallace and hopefully bring me success.

This will become a weekly thing. I will offer some advice and comments on different areas of Fantasy Football. For the first week I wanted to start off with a BANG. Today is all about Big-Play Sleepers. Now, before you ridicule me if it does not work I want to offer some advice. First off, these players I offer are either going to have huge games or not do a lot. It really is a coin flip. After all, they are the toughest players to pick. I am always up for comments and questioning so please feel free to leave them at any time.

Explode or Implode Week 5

QUARTERBACKS

Colt McCoy (CLE): Colt McCoy has been slowly improving in my opinion. He finally he has two big play options with Mohamed Massaqoui and Greg Little against an inexepereinced Raiders secondary who will focus a lot on TE Benjamin Watson. McCoy recently threw for 350 yards against a good Titan's defence. The Raiders have a weak secondary and McCoy should be able to have a couple of TDs with over 300 yards. Be wary though, the Browns might take their best player (Peyton Hillis) and run the ball all day long.

Andy Dalton (CIN): Any quarterback against the Colts D should be a considering to have a huge game. Dalton and AJ Green have been connecting very well and Dalton uses his soon to be start tight end, Jermaine Gresham, near to drop the ball off to. He has a similar upside to McCoy with the same problems. To beat the Colts you have the run the ball hard and Benson could have a big day. In saying that though, Matt Cassel just had a huge day against the Colts last week, just saying.

RUNNING BACKS


Daniel Thomas (MIA): Miami have a new quarterback. Thomas has done a great job of showing some talent in both week 2 and 3 against much better run defences than the Jets, who are strangely ranked 26th against the run. The Dolphins have a great offensive line and will make space for Thomas to show his speed. However, there are two reasons that make me nervous about this play. 1. The Jets defence might suddenly man up and focus on stopping the run because Matt Moore backed up an ineffective Chad Henne. 2. The Jets might go two touchdowns up very quick and Miami will have to abandon the run and throw the ball. I do not see this happening as of now but be wary.

Delone Carter (IND): I like this guy. He could have a huge game for two reasons. Carter will start because Donald Brown has not been good or lived up to his hype to constantly take over from Addai. The second reason is that the Colts offence will really have to mix up their plays so that Painter can throw the ball. The Bengals defence will be a challenge for Curtis Painter and they will need to run. Another issue you have to worry about is that the Colts' offensive line is very poor. Another problem is that Carter and Brown might possibly split carries for a bit. If one of them falters or the Colts start losing by a lot then good bye running the ball.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Greg Little (CLE): He has been been named the starter across from Massaqoui. The Raiders are 29th against the pass and will focus upon Massaqoui or B. Watson if they can stop the run. Either way, Greg Little will be open. Little is big and improving. The Colts will want to see what Little can do. Similar to McCoy, you have to worry about the Browns running the ball all day long.

Kevin Walter/ Jacoby Jones (HOU): One of these wide receivers has to have a big day. The Ravens will try to stop Foster and both of the Tight Ends that had huge games last week. Jones had 11 targets while Walter had the huge game. The Ravens have a great defence, especially against the run so expect Matt Schuab to have to pass the ball and one of these guys to have a huge game. If I had to choose I would say Jones will have a big day. I know he did nothing last week but 11 targets is a lot and if he could catch just half of those then he would have had a huge day.

TIGHT END


Delanie Walker (SF): Alex Smith needs to use both his tight ends again. Smith's wide receivers this week are probably the two most disappointting players in the current NFL. Crabtree has an opportunity to be the No. 1 receiver but Smith does need seem to trust him. Ted Ginn has incredible speed but struggles to catch so expect them to send him long a few times. Detroit ranked 21st against defending tight ends and will double coverage Vernon Davis as much as possible. You also have to think that play-action on a two tight-end set will be the best way to fake the run, hence Walker will be open quite often I believe. However, the only down side is that the 49ers lean on Frank Gore (as expected) and the run fakes might leave Crabtree or Ginn open. Be wary but also be excited if you really need a tight end.


Defence and Special Teams


Vikings (MIN): Think about it. Vikings defensive line is strong and the Bears are nearly as bad as the Seahawks in stopping their QB from being sacked. Their upside really comes from sacking Jay Cutler. However, they will need to prove that they can stop the Matt Forte which is not an easy job. This really is scrapping the barrel. I got burned earlier for using the Vikes a few weeks ago. But, they have confidence from last week and it will be low scoring (I hope) so take a second look.

Like I said before, these are explode or implode. If they get 0 points then I apologise. If you are in a small league then you probably wont look at any of these. If you are in deeper league (as I am) then you may want really consider playing Greg Little (even though I'm an Oakland fan and have Heyward-bey and Crabtree on the bench).

Good luck everybody







Friday, 14 October 2011

Brandon Marshall what are you thinking?

New York Jets Head Coach, Rex Ryan,  hopes that Marshall will get chucked out. Tony Sparano explains that Marshall was "50-percent kidding."

Brandon Marshall came out with some very interesting comments earlier this week. He was "fired up" about the fierce AFC East with the NY Jets on MNF. So fired up that he would probably get into a fight he said. Interesting display of mind games.

The Jets, Rex Ryan, renouned for his own comments of confidence, hopes that Marshall does get thrown out. Easy response to make considering that Marshall is Miami's only offensive weapon.

Dolphin's Head Coach has tried to calm down Marshall's comments explaining that they were a joke. "I know one thing about that guy: He's not going to do anything to hurt this football team." Lets think about this for a second.

So the Dolphins are 0-4. They have a new quarterback and a rookie running back. Their defence is arguably the worst in the league and their Head Coach is experiencing more heat than a baked potato. Lets just say that the Dolphins are struggling. When a team is struggling do you really want to anger one of the best defences in the league? Especially a defence that relies on physical presence and big hit-ability.

So really, Marshall has hurt his team-mates. Some might argue that he is showing passion. Some might say he is diverting the pressure onto himself. Whichever one you think it is, he is adding heat to an already fierce rivalry match up on MNF. Not smart.

I have had enough of Marshall. After his comments I finally reach my end with the guy and traded him in my Fantasy Football League. Say what you want, I do not regret this (unless he now has 100+ yards every game which I doubt). Marshall mouth seems to do a lot of talking. Didn't he say he was going to play in the NBA last year? Marshall is wasting his talents at Miami and its his own fault.

The Miami Dolphins corporation has enough to worry about. New quarterback, possibly a new coach and they need a brand new defence. Marshall has definitely hurt his defence and unless he has a multiple touchdown game, I would not forgive him.